Just in time for week 2, here are my forecasts and a cool Sankey Diagram for the rest of finals.
First, predictions for this week:
| Match |
Venue |
Predicted Winner |
Probability |
Predicted Margin |
| HAW vs MEL |
MCG |
MEL |
67% |
16 |
| COL vs GWS |
MCG |
COL |
68% |
19 |
Now for the rest of finals. This took forever to make, especially all the hovering actions, and is still a little buggy, but I think it's really cool. Clicking on a team shows their possible paths and likelihoods:
Richmond still the team to beat and 42% for the flag. Still more likely that a team other than Richmond wins though. Last time I checked bookie odds Richmond were under $2 so maybe some value in laying the Tigers...
Anyway that's it for this week!